Sousa vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 1
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 2
CAM
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAM
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 2
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 2
ARN
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 1
CAU
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 2
CAU
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 3
CAM
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |