Sousa vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 0
IGU
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
SOU
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 0
BOT
32%
28%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
SOU
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
LQE
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
49%
27%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 2
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |