Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
CRB
4 - 1
SOU
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 2
SPO
8%
23%
68%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
3 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 0
SOU
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 0
ADP
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 1
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
2 - 1
BOT
17%
27%
56%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 30 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
POM
1 - 0
BOT
7%
16%
78%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |