Paraibano Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SOU
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
CSP
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
AUT
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 0
SOU
15%
20%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SOU
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOT
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
15%
25%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
0 - 1
BOT
9%
22%
69%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |