Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
LAG
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
ARN
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
RFC
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |