Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 3
SOU
56%
23%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOT
12%
22%
67%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
IPB
83%
13%
5%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAL
16%
23%
62%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |