Paraibano Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BOT
22%
25%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |