Paraibano Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
ECP
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BOT
22%
25%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |