Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 4
SOU
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 0
AUT
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 4
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ECP
2 - 0
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRE
4 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
TRE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 2
ECP
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 4
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |