Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
DPB
0 - 0
SOU
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 2
SOU
40%
25%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
AUT
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
CAM
40%
24%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAM
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
QUE
0 - 1
BOT
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUT
0 - 3
BOT
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
ECP
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |