Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
SOU
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 1
TRE
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
ECP
71%
17%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
IPB
2 - 2
BOT
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |