Paraibano Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 4
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
5 - 0
CRI
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 0
QUE
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 4
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 0
BOT
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
CAM
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CRI
0 - 0
BOT
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
QUE
0 - 1
BOT
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | +1 |