Sousa vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 0
TRE
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 1
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CAM
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 0
CAM
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 3
DPB
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 2
ECP
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
PER
0 - 4
BOT
10%
16%
75%
|
58 | 14 | 44 | 0 |