Sousa vs Flamengo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 3
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ECP
2 - 2
SOU
38%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CSP
3 - 2
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ECP
4 - 1
FLA
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
CSP
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +4 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 3
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
FLA
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
FLA
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |