Sourense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 0
SOU
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
ANA
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 0
SOU
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |