Sourense vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ANA
0 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 0
SOU
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
59%
20%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 4
BEN
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOU
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RDA
4 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
RDA
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
RDA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAL
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 2
RDA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |