Sourense vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
BEN
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
SOU
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLI
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
POM
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 2
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
GDA
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |