Sourense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 1
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 2
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOM
0 - 2
SOU
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
GDA
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 3
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POM
0 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAM
0 - 1
BEN
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
BEN
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +3 |