Sorrento vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SOR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 1
USC
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 1
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 2
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 3
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASF
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 1
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 3
USC
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAG
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |