Sorrento vs ACR Messina analysis

Sorrento ACR Messina
60 ELO 58
-10.5% Tilt -12.1%
3067º General ELO ranking 3480º
99º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
41.1%
Sorrento
27.7%
Draw
31.2%
ACR Messina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
Sorrento
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.2%
Win probability
ACR Messina
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sorrento
-18%
+1%
ACR Messina

Points and table prediction

Sorrento
Their league position
ACR Messina
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
14º
14º
25
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Avellino
75
85
98.5%
Audace Cerignola
67
77
98%
Monopoli
57
67
66%
Catania
53
64
27.5%
Crotone
54
64
18.5%
Benevento
52
62
39%
Potenza Calcio
49
59
53%
Picerno
48
58
47.5%
Juventus Next Gen
44
54
49%
SSC Giugliano
10º
43
53
10º
43.5%
Trapani
11º
41
51
11º
40.5%
Cavese 1919
12º
41
48
12º
46.5%
Team Altamura
13º
37
44
13º
53%
Sorrento
14º
35
42
14º
28%
Casertana
16º
32
41
15º
21%
Latina
15º
34
41
16º
16.5%
Calcio Foggia
17º
31
40
17º
35.5%
ACR Messina
18º
25
36
18º
65.5%
Turris Neapolis
20º
0
26
19º
44%
Taranto
19º
0
22
20º
58.5%
Expected probabilities
Sorrento
ACR Messina
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
89.5% 8%
Relegation play-offs
10% 78.5%
Relegation
0.5% 13.5%

ELO progression

Sorrento
ACR Messina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sorrento
Sorrento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
PIC
Picerno
2 - 0
Sorrento
SOR
59%
25%
16%
60 70 10 0
22 Mar. 2025
SOR
Sorrento
1 - 1
Latina
LAT
41%
28%
32%
60 59 1 0
16 Mar. 2025
CAS
Casertana
4 - 0
Sorrento
SOR
49%
27%
24%
60 62 2 0
12 Mar. 2025
SOR
Sorrento
0 - 1
Juventus Next Gen
JS2
28%
26%
46%
61 67 6 -1
09 Mar. 2025
USF
Calcio Foggia
2 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
53%
25%
22%
61 63 2 0

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
MES
ACR Messina
3 - 1
Team Altamura
ASD
29%
28%
43%
58 64 6 0
23 Mar. 2025
SSC
SSC Giugliano
2 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
65%
21%
15%
57 64 7 +1
16 Mar. 2025
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Catania
CAT
18%
23%
59%
57 69 12 0
12 Mar. 2025
CAV
Cavese 1919
3 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
54%
26%
20%
57 62 5 0
08 Mar. 2025
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Avellino
AVE
15%
23%
62%
57 75 18 0