Sorrento vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SOR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 2
ISC
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SOR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USP
1 - 0
SOR
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 3
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TER
3 - 0
GAV
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 1
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |