Sorrento vs Casertana analysis

Sorrento Casertana
53 ELO 56
-17.3% Tilt -13%
3067º General ELO ranking 2528º
99º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Sorrento
27.4%
Draw
40.9%
Casertana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Sorrento
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.9%
Win probability
Casertana
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Sorrento
Their league position
Casertana
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
20º
12º
65
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sorrento
Casertana
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sorrento
Casertana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sorrento
Sorrento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2023
CAT
Catania
0 - 1
Sorrento
SOR
72%
19%
9%
52 65 13 0
10 Dec. 2023
SOR
Sorrento
0 - 2
Brindisi
BRI
51%
26%
23%
53 48 5 -1
04 Dec. 2023
LAT
Latina
0 - 2
Sorrento
SOR
54%
25%
21%
52 57 5 +1
26 Nov. 2023
SOR
Sorrento
2 - 0
Monopoli
MON
24%
27%
49%
51 58 7 +1
19 Nov. 2023
JUS
Juve Stabia
0 - 0
Sorrento
SOR
65%
21%
14%
50 60 10 +1

Matches

Casertana
Casertana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2023
CAS
Casertana
3 - 1
SSC Giugliano
SSC
47%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0
08 Dec. 2023
PIC
Picerno
0 - 0
Casertana
CAS
59%
24%
17%
55 64 9 0
04 Dec. 2023
CAS
Casertana
2 - 1
Calcio Foggia
USF
24%
25%
50%
54 63 9 +1
27 Nov. 2023
TAR
Taranto
0 - 1
Casertana
CAS
42%
28%
30%
54 58 4 0
18 Nov. 2023
CAS
Casertana
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
15%
22%
64%
53 68 15 +1