Sorrento vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 2
SOR
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 1
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
USF
5 - 0
SOR
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
USA
3 - 3
SOR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
PAV
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
RAV
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAV
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 1
BV5
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |