Sora vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POM
0 - 2
SOR
38%
25%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 0
ANZ
74%
17%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
BUD
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SOR
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FID
4 - 2
ANZ
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
FID
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
FID
4 - 1
POM
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |