Sora vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 3
SOR
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SOR
1 - 0
NOC
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
BAG
5 - 0
SOR
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
LOD
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PES
3 - 0
FER
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
NOC
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FER
0 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |