Sonthofen vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
8º
17º
10º
47
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
1 - 0
SON
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
186
4 - 1
SON
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SON
1 - 4
DEI
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KSC
3 - 5
SON
14%
18%
69%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
TSV
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ERL
1 - 1
KOT
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAC
3 - 0
KOT
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KOT
0 - 1
RAI
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOT
3 - 2
FCG
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
2 - 2
KOT
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |