Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ho Chi Minh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
4º
4º
14
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 10 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 9 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 8 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 7 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 7 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Song Lam Nghe An
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HAN
0 - 1
SON
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SON
0 - 0
BIN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HCM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 0
SON
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
SON
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cong An Ho Chi Minh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HCM
0 - 1
VFC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
HOA
0 - 0
HCM
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HCM
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HCM
5 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HLH
4 - 3
HCM
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |