Somozas vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CDG
2 - 0
SOM
58%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 2
CAU
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ACF
3 - 0
SOM
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SOM
0 - 0
BOI
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COX
2 - 1
SOM
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UDM
0 - 1
CUL
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PON
3 - 2
UDM
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UDM
0 - 0
TUD
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OSA
0 - 0
UDM
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UDM
3 - 1
VAL
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |