Somozas vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SOM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RCV
1 - 3
SOM
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SOM
0 - 2
ASP
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 1
CER
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ORD
1 - 1
SOM
41%
26%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NEG
1 - 0
RCV
50%
24%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
NEG
2 - 2
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALO
0 - 0
NEG
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NEG
1 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
5 - 0
NEG
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |