Somozas vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CDO
1 - 1
SOM
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
5 - 2
CUL
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAL
1 - 2
SOM
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PON
2 - 2
SOM
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
SOM
0 - 1
CDD
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NEG
3 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BET
1 - 1
NEG
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NEG
1 - 0
DEP
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEG
1 - 1
RVI
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
RCF
1 - 1
NEG
76%
16%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |