Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Somozas vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOM
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOM
4 - 2
NEG
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SOM
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
SOM
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAB
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAÑ
2 - 3
VAL
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 0
CEB
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 2
VAL
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |