Somozas vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
SOM
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 2
SOM
26%
26%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SOM
1 - 2
VIV
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 1
SOM
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SOM
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
3 - 2
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
PON
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |