Somozas vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BOI
1 - 0
SOM
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SOM
3 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POR
0 - 2
SOM
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 2
UDO
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RCF
0 - 0
SOM
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RCV
1 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
LAR
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARE
1 - 1
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
BER
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |