Somozas vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 3
SOM
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SOM
1 - 0
ORD
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 1
SOM
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SOM
2 - 0
LAL
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEG
0 - 2
SOM
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CER
3 - 2
CDO
29%
27%
44%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COM
3 - 0
CER
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CER
1 - 2
NAR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ORD
1 - 0
CER
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |