Somerset Trojans vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 2
YMS
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 0
DEV
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PHC
1 - 0
SOM
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 2
HAM
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 2
NOR
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STG
3 - 0
XRW
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
STG
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
HAM
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
PAG
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 3
DEV
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |