Somerset Trojans vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
DEV
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 2
HOR
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
ROB
1 - 1
SOM
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
DEV
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ROB
4 - 1
STG
53%
20%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 0
STG
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
STG
1 - 0
NOR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |