Somerset Trojans vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
49.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
10º
8º
45
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
XRW
2 - 0
SOM
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SOM
3 - 2
BOU
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SOM
3 - 4
HOR
34%
22%
45%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROB
0 - 3
SOM
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
HAM
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 9
PHC
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 3
PHC
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STG
2 - 3
PHC
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
2 - 1
PHC
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
3 - 1
XRW
80%
11%
9%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |