Somerset Trojans vs PHC Zebras analysis


30	ELO	33
-2.9%	Tilt	1.5%
19715º	General ELO ranking	9240º
16º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

47.6%

Somerset Trojans

23.9%

Draw

28.4%

PHC Zebras

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%

23.9%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

11.1%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23.9%

28.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-28%

+95%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Somerset Trojans

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Jan. 2010	SOM 1 - 1 DEV 49% 24% 28%	31	30	1	0
08 Jan. 2010	SOM 1 - 3 HAM 47% 24% 29%	32	32	0	-1
13 Dec. 2009	SOU 2 - 1 SOM 45% 24% 31%	32	31	1	0
05 Dec. 2009	SOM 0 - 1 DEV 48% 24% 28%	32	32	0	0
20 Nov. 2009	SOM 1 - 2 NOR 47% 24% 30%	32	32	0	0

Matches

PHC Zebras

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
17 Jan. 2010	HAM 0 - 3 PHC 51% 23% 27%	32	32
10 Jan. 2010	SOU 1 - 0 PHC 48% 24% 29%	32	32
13 Dec. 2009	HOR 5 - 3 PHC 52% 23% 25%	32	32
06 Dec. 2009	PHC 1 - 0 BOU 51% 24% 26%	32	32
22 Nov. 2009	SOM 1 - 2 PHC 50% 23% 27%	32	32