Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Cougars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 2
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 0
PHC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SOM
2 - 1
FLA
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOM
3 - 1
HOR
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SOM
1 - 1
STG
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
DEV
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 1
DEV
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 2
ROB
52%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
STG
0 - 0
DEV
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 0
DEV
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |