Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Cougars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 4
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SOM
4 - 2
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROB
1 - 2
SOM
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HOR
5 - 1
SOM
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
4 - 1
STG
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DEV
3 - 5
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 4
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DEV
4 - 1
SOU
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEV
4 - 1
STD
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PHC
3 - 0
DEV
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |