Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 1
NOR
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 2
SOM
39%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
5 - 0
XRW
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 3
SOM
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOM
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 1
PHC
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 2
NOR
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
SOM
3 - 3
DEV
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
DEV
0 - 5
DEV
34%
24%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PHC
5 - 1
DEV
63%
18%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |