Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ROB
3 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SOM
2 - 2
BOU
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 0
SOM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SBR
1 - 1
SOM
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
PHC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DEV
6 - 4
HOR
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 2
DEV
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ROB
1 - 0
DEV
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PHC
4 - 1
DEV
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 1
BOU
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |