Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 3
SOM
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SOM
3 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
SOM
56%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SOM
1 - 2
DEV
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 2
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 4
DEV
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 0
NOR
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DEV
5 - 0
DEV
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
STD
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |