Somerset Trojans vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SOM
1 - 1
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
HOR
0 - 0
SOM
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
IRE
1 - 1
SOM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
SOM
1 - 1
STD
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PHC
1 - 1
SOM
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 2
DEV
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DEV
1 - 2
BOU
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PHC
1 - 1
DEV
76%
16%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |