Somerset Eagles vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 1
DEV
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 3
SOM
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SOM
0 - 1
BOU
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SOM
3 - 4
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
STG
4 - 1
DEV
48%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STD
2 - 1
DEV
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
DEV
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 0
DEV
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PHC
4 - 1
DEV
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |