Switzerland Fourth Division Final
Global 1-3
Solothurn vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solothurn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 2
SOL
28%
23%
50%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 1
FCM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CON
2 - 2
SOL
45%
22%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 0
BLA
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 6
SOL
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
VEV
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 1
LUG
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
LUG
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 3
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |