Soller vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
16º
15º
56
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 90% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Soller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SLL
2 - 6
AND
9%
17%
75%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SNF
1 - 1
SLL
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SLL
1 - 1
BNS
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PBL
1 - 0
SLL
81%
12%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLL
0 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 1
SNF
48%
21%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BNS
2 - 0
PIN
9%
15%
75%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 2
PBL
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
PIN
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 0
IMA
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |