Solbiatese Arno Calcio vs AC Merate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solbiatese Arno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 3
TRI
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 1
FOL
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALZ
0 - 1
SAC
67%
20%
14%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 0
OLG
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
COL
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLG
3 - 2
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |