Solaris vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solaris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
KOL
2 - 1
SOL
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TEK
1 - 0
SOL
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 2
SOL
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 1
FKC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
DNE
1 - 0
STR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
DNE
65%
22%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
DNE
0 - 1
PSK
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
KOL
1 - 3
DNE
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DNE
1 - 0
PSK
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |