Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 2
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
RÑU
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
18%
26%
56%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |